CDC's latest FluView surveillance for Week 17, ending May 2, 2026, reports a sharply declining weekly influenza hospitalization rate of just 0.2 per 100,000 population—down from 0.5 the prior week—signaling the 2025-2026 flu season's end with minimal late activity. This aligns FluSurv-NET cumulative rates squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 range across age groups, consistent with a moderately severe season that peaked earlier but tapered amid low outpatient visits and test positivity. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this stable, authoritative data from sentinel hospitals covering ~9% of the U.S. population. Realistic challenges include rare preliminary revisions from delayed reporting or an unforeseen Week 18 spike, though models forecast continued decline; final Week 18 FluView expected this Friday.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 98.8%
90–95 1.6%
80–85 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,332 Wol.
$14,332 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<80
<1%
80–85
1%
85–90
99%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.8%
90–95 1.6%
80–85 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,332 Wol.
$14,332 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<80
$1,606 Wol.
<1%
80–85
$1,729 Wol.
1%
85–90
$5,714 Wol.
99%
90–95
$3,413 Wol.
2%
95–100
$1,056 Wol.
<1%
100+
$815 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's latest FluView surveillance for Week 17, ending May 2, 2026, reports a sharply declining weekly influenza hospitalization rate of just 0.2 per 100,000 population—down from 0.5 the prior week—signaling the 2025-2026 flu season's end with minimal late activity. This aligns FluSurv-NET cumulative rates squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 range across age groups, consistent with a moderately severe season that peaked earlier but tapered amid low outpatient visits and test positivity. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this stable, authoritative data from sentinel hospitals covering ~9% of the U.S. population. Realistic challenges include rare preliminary revisions from delayed reporting or an unforeseen Week 18 spike, though models forecast continued decline; final Week 18 FluView expected this Friday.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,332Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's latest FluView surveillance for Week 17, ending May 2, 2026, reports a sharply declining weekly influenza hospitalization rate of just 0.2 per 100,000 population—down from 0.5 the prior week—signaling the 2025-2026 flu season's end with minimal late activity. This aligns FluSurv-NET cumulative rates squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 range across age groups, consistent with a moderately severe season that peaked earlier but tapered amid low outpatient visits and test positivity. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this stable, authoritative data from sentinel hospitals covering ~9% of the U.S. population. Realistic challenges include rare preliminary revisions from delayed reporting or an unforeseen Week 18 spike, though models forecast continued decline; final Week 18 FluView expected this Friday.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Wolumen
$14,332Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC's latest FluView surveillance for Week 17, ending May 2, 2026, reports a sharply declining weekly influenza hospitalization rate of just 0.2 per 100,000 population—down from 0.5 the prior week—signaling the 2025-2026 flu season's end with minimal late activity. This aligns FluSurv-NET cumulative rates squarely in the 85–90 per 100,000 range across age groups, consistent with a moderately severe season that peaked earlier but tapered amid low outpatient visits and test positivity. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability reflects this stable, authoritative data from sentinel hospitals covering ~9% of the U.S. population. Realistic challenges include rare preliminary revisions from delayed reporting or an unforeseen Week 18 spike, though models forecast continued decline; final Week 18 FluView expected this Friday.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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