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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Wol.

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Wol.

Sheila Garrity

$20,246 Wol.

1%

Seán Kyne

$4,701 Wol.

31%

Niall Murphy

$1,834 Wol.

<1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$1,654 Wol.

9%

Orla Nugent

$1,680 Wol.

<1%

Helen Ogbu

$3,933 Wol.

4%

Denman Rooke

$1,612 Wol.

1%

Noel Thomas

$5,057 Wol.

47%

Thomas Welby

$1,697 Wol.

<1%

Mike Cubbard

$2,416 Wol.

13%

Mark Lohan

$2,509 Wol.

4%

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The vacancy left by Catherine Connolly's election as president has produced a fragmented contest among 17 candidates in the Galway West by-election, scheduled for 22 May. Traders have positioned Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the clear favorite, reflecting his strong local base as a former councillor and his emphasis on immigration controls during recent fuel protests and cost-of-living debates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne sits second despite a narrow lead in the latest Irish Times/TG4 poll, buoyed by his Seanad role and canvassing efforts across the constituency's islands. Independent Mike Cubbard and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich draw support from distinct voter blocs, while the scattered left-leaning vote limits consolidation for candidates such as Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan or Labour's Helen Ogbu. Recent candidate forums on RTÉ have underscored these dividing issues without shifting the market's implied probabilities.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$47,339
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The vacancy left by Catherine Connolly's election as president has produced a fragmented contest among 17 candidates in the Galway West by-election, scheduled for 22 May. Traders have positioned Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the clear favorite, reflecting his strong local base as a former councillor and his emphasis on immigration controls during recent fuel protests and cost-of-living debates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne sits second despite a narrow lead in the latest Irish Times/TG4 poll, buoyed by his Seanad role and canvassing efforts across the constituency's islands. Independent Mike Cubbard and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich draw support from distinct voter blocs, while the scattered left-leaning vote limits consolidation for candidates such as Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan or Labour's Helen Ogbu. Recent candidate forums on RTÉ have underscored these dividing issues without shifting the market's implied probabilities.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$47,339
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Galway-West By-Election Winner?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 11 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Noel Thomas" z 47%, za nim "Seán Kyne" z 31%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 47¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Galway-West By-Election Winner?" wygenerował $47.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 26, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Galway-West By-Election Winner?", przeglądaj 11 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Galway-West By-Election Winner?" jest "Noel Thomas" z 47%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Seán Kyne" z 31%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Galway-West By-Election Winner?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.