Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 12?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Wol.
$141,070 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Wol.
$141,070 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
29°C or below
$18,519 Wol.
No
30°C
$23,637 Wol.
No
31°C
$24,973 Wol.
No
32°C
$18,725 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$16,907 Wol.
No
34°C
$14,037 Wol.
No
35°C
$7,654 Wol.
No
36°C
$9,243 Wol.
No
37°C
$2,474 Wol.
No
38°C
$3,311 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,591 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$141,070Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$141,070Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania