Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 13?
27°C or below 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 16%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
16%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 16%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
$166 Wol.
49%
28°C
$0 Wol.
27%
29°C
$8 Wol.
16%
30°C
$256 Wol.
6%
31°C
$285 Wol.
4%
32°C
$176 Wol.
2%
33°C
$150 Wol.
1%
34°C
$207 Wol.
1%
35°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,163Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,163Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing’s June 13 maximum will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating northeasterly flow that limits daytime insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical early-June climatology of 30–32 °C highs under clearer subtropical ridge influence. Market-implied odds—48.5 % for 27 °C or below and 26.5 % for exactly 28 °C—reflect trader weighting of the latest model consensus showing precipitation probabilities near 40–60 % during peak heating hours, which historically caps temperatures 2–4 °C below guidance. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely determine whether any late-day clearing allows readings to reach the lower-probability 30 °C tier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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