Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a daily maximum near 18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial clearing after earlier cloud cover, and typical late-winter conditions that allow limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 15–17°C, with 2026 observations showing similar ranges under stable high-pressure influence. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17–19°C reflect trader alignment with these consensus model runs and observed trends from nearby stations, though minor shifts in wind or frontal timing could alter the exact peak within the 16–20°C window. Updated official briefings later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
18°C 56%
17°C 21%
19°C 17%
20°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
21%
18°C
56%
19°C
17%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 56%
17°C 21%
19°C 17%
20°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
$107 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$108 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$61 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$225 Wol.
3%
17°C
$346 Wol.
21%
18°C
$647 Wol.
56%
19°C
$1,732 Wol.
17%
20°C
$992 Wol.
4%
21°C
$88 Wol.
2%
22°C
$130 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$55 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a daily maximum near 18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial clearing after earlier cloud cover, and typical late-winter conditions that allow limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 15–17°C, with 2026 observations showing similar ranges under stable high-pressure influence. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17–19°C reflect trader alignment with these consensus model runs and observed trends from nearby stations, though minor shifts in wind or frontal timing could alter the exact peak within the 16–20°C window. Updated official briefings later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,491Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a daily maximum near 18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial clearing after earlier cloud cover, and typical late-winter conditions that allow limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 15–17°C, with 2026 observations showing similar ranges under stable high-pressure influence. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17–19°C reflect trader alignment with these consensus model runs and observed trends from nearby stations, though minor shifts in wind or frontal timing could alter the exact peak within the 16–20°C window. Updated official briefings later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,491Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a daily maximum near 18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, driven by moderate northerly winds, partial clearing after earlier cloud cover, and typical late-winter conditions that allow limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 15–17°C, with 2026 observations showing similar ranges under stable high-pressure influence. Market-implied probabilities favoring 17–19°C reflect trader alignment with these consensus model runs and observed trends from nearby stations, though minor shifts in wind or frontal timing could alter the exact peak within the 16–20°C window. Updated official briefings later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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