Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 12?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 Wol.
$57,370 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 Wol.
$57,370 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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