Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Key drivers include the advancing East Asian summer monsoon, which brings elevated humidity and a moderate chance of afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover and localized rainfall. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture among models account for the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, while historical June climatology (average highs near 29–30°C) provides context for why traders assign lower probability to extremes above 33°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later on June 14 could further refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
18%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$1,679 Wol.
6%
29°C
$560 Wol.
10%
30°C
$436 Wol.
24%
31°C
$469 Wol.
30%
32°C
$704 Wol.
18%
33°C
$732 Wol.
8%
34°C
$632 Wol.
3%
35°C
$497 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$256 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$845 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$650 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Key drivers include the advancing East Asian summer monsoon, which brings elevated humidity and a moderate chance of afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover and localized rainfall. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture among models account for the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, while historical June climatology (average highs near 29–30°C) provides context for why traders assign lower probability to extremes above 33°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later on June 14 could further refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,448Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Key drivers include the advancing East Asian summer monsoon, which brings elevated humidity and a moderate chance of afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover and localized rainfall. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture among models account for the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, while historical June climatology (average highs near 29–30°C) provides context for why traders assign lower probability to extremes above 33°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later on June 14 could further refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,448Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Key drivers include the advancing East Asian summer monsoon, which brings elevated humidity and a moderate chance of afternoon convection that can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover and localized rainfall. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture among models account for the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, while historical June climatology (average highs near 29–30°C) provides context for why traders assign lower probability to extremes above 33°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later on June 14 could further refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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