PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on June 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
28%
33°C
38%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$450 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$211 Wol.
1%
30°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$441 Wol.
4%
32°C
$141 Wol.
28%
33°C
$93 Wol.
38%
34°C
$784 Wol.
20%
35°C
$410 Wol.
3%
36°C
$138 Wol.
1%
37°C
$93 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,941Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,941Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts place Manila's June 15 maximum near 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon's onset, with 40% rain chance and high humidity that favors afternoon convection. These conditions often cap peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from scattered showers, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Model consensus and historical June baselines near 31–32°C explain why 34°C commands lower implied odds, while drier spells or delayed rainfall could briefly allow 34°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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