Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a June 16 maximum near 18°C in Moscow, driven by moderate westerly flow, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures from climbing higher. These conditions align with mid-June climatology but sit slightly below seasonal averages, with limited model spread narrowing the most probable outcomes to 17–19°C. Trader consensus on the leading probabilities reflects this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak amid variable precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer moisture and cloud forecasts, will likely determine whether the distribution shifts toward the upper or lower end of that interval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 27%
19°C 23%
17°C 21%
21°C 10.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
27%
19°C
23%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 27%
19°C 23%
17°C 21%
21°C 10.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
$15 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$40 Wol.
1%
14°C
$25 Wol.
2%
15°C
$11 Wol.
3%
16°C
$51 Wol.
6%
17°C
$0 Wol.
21%
18°C
$0 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
23%
20°C
$0 Wol.
10%
21°C
$93 Wol.
7%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a June 16 maximum near 18°C in Moscow, driven by moderate westerly flow, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures from climbing higher. These conditions align with mid-June climatology but sit slightly below seasonal averages, with limited model spread narrowing the most probable outcomes to 17–19°C. Trader consensus on the leading probabilities reflects this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak amid variable precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer moisture and cloud forecasts, will likely determine whether the distribution shifts toward the upper or lower end of that interval.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$225Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a June 16 maximum near 18°C in Moscow, driven by moderate westerly flow, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures from climbing higher. These conditions align with mid-June climatology but sit slightly below seasonal averages, with limited model spread narrowing the most probable outcomes to 17–19°C. Trader consensus on the leading probabilities reflects this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak amid variable precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer moisture and cloud forecasts, will likely determine whether the distribution shifts toward the upper or lower end of that interval.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$225Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a June 16 maximum near 18°C in Moscow, driven by moderate westerly flow, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures from climbing higher. These conditions align with mid-June climatology but sit slightly below seasonal averages, with limited model spread narrowing the most probable outcomes to 17–19°C. Trader consensus on the leading probabilities reflects this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak amid variable precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to boundary-layer moisture and cloud forecasts, will likely determine whether the distribution shifts toward the upper or lower end of that interval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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