Close odds between 36°C and 37°C stem from short-term forecast uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Taipei on August 13, two days ahead. In Taipei’s subtropical monsoon climate, August averages feature highs near 33–34°C, yet urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can push daily maxima into the mid-30s. Southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with possible typhoon-related moisture or steering influences from systems such as recent passages near the Ryukyus, modulates cloud cover and afternoon convection—key variables that differentiate 36°C versus 37°C outcomes in model runs. Central Weather Administration updates and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 13?
36°C 37%
37°C 34%
35°C 12%
38°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
37%
37°C
34%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 37%
37°C 34%
35°C 12%
38°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$582 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$645 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$262 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$233 Wol.
1%
33°C
$987 Wol.
2%
34°C
$180 Wol.
3%
35°C
$416 Wol.
12%
36°C
$540 Wol.
37%
37°C
$375 Wol.
34%
38°C
$543 Wol.
11%
39°C or higher
$753 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 36°C and 37°C stem from short-term forecast uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Taipei on August 13, two days ahead. In Taipei’s subtropical monsoon climate, August averages feature highs near 33–34°C, yet urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can push daily maxima into the mid-30s. Southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with possible typhoon-related moisture or steering influences from systems such as recent passages near the Ryukyus, modulates cloud cover and afternoon convection—key variables that differentiate 36°C versus 37°C outcomes in model runs. Central Weather Administration updates and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,518Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 36°C and 37°C stem from short-term forecast uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Taipei on August 13, two days ahead. In Taipei’s subtropical monsoon climate, August averages feature highs near 33–34°C, yet urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can push daily maxima into the mid-30s. Southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with possible typhoon-related moisture or steering influences from systems such as recent passages near the Ryukyus, modulates cloud cover and afternoon convection—key variables that differentiate 36°C versus 37°C outcomes in model runs. Central Weather Administration updates and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,518Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close odds between 36°C and 37°C stem from short-term forecast uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Taipei on August 13, two days ahead. In Taipei’s subtropical monsoon climate, August averages feature highs near 33–34°C, yet urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can push daily maxima into the mid-30s. Southwesterly monsoon flow, combined with possible typhoon-related moisture or steering influences from systems such as recent passages near the Ryukyus, modulates cloud cover and afternoon convection—key variables that differentiate 36°C versus 37°C outcomes in model runs. Central Weather Administration updates and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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