The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
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"Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Park Chan-dae" z 95%, za nim "Yoo Jeong-bok" z 4%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 95¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" wygenerował $2.6 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 17, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" jest "Park Chan-dae" z 95%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Yoo Jeong-bok" z 4%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $2.6 million wolumenu na "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 95¢ za "Park Chan-dae" na rynku "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 95% szansy na to, że "Park Chan-dae" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 95¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 5¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Jun 3, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon" ma rosnącą dyskusję z 7 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na co postawiły największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Zwycięzca wyborów burmistrzowskich w Incheon". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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