Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Wol.
$129,683 Wol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Wol.
$129,683 Wol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania