Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$57,801 Wol.
$57,801 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
19%
$57,801 Wol.
$57,801 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$31,353 Wol.
76%
Democratic Party
$26,448 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$57,801Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$57,801Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania