Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's minimum temperature on August 30 in a narrow 12–16 °C range, with official guidance centering near 13–15 °C overnight. Light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity (dew points ~10–12 °C) will allow efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the city's plateau elevation (~900 m) and urban heat-island effect introduce small spatial differences. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the steering pattern is stable, yet minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to outcomes from 10 °C to 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in nocturnal minimums before final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
20%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$140 Wol.
2%
10°C
$0 Wol.
26%
11°C
$0 Wol.
26%
12°C
$0 Wol.
26%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
26%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
26%
17°C
$21 Wol.
20%
18°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's minimum temperature on August 30 in a narrow 12–16 °C range, with official guidance centering near 13–15 °C overnight. Light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity (dew points ~10–12 °C) will allow efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the city's plateau elevation (~900 m) and urban heat-island effect introduce small spatial differences. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the steering pattern is stable, yet minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to outcomes from 10 °C to 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in nocturnal minimums before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$430Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's minimum temperature on August 30 in a narrow 12–16 °C range, with official guidance centering near 13–15 °C overnight. Light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity (dew points ~10–12 °C) will allow efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the city's plateau elevation (~900 m) and urban heat-island effect introduce small spatial differences. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the steering pattern is stable, yet minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to outcomes from 10 °C to 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in nocturnal minimums before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$430Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's minimum temperature on August 30 in a narrow 12–16 °C range, with official guidance centering near 13–15 °C overnight. Light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity (dew points ~10–12 °C) will allow efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the city's plateau elevation (~900 m) and urban heat-island effect introduce small spatial differences. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the steering pattern is stable, yet minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to outcomes from 10 °C to 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty in nocturnal minimums before final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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