Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Chinese weather services, indicate a nighttime low of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered showers on prior days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Recent precipitation has slightly suppressed daytime maxima and limited overnight temperature drops compared to drier analogs, while urban heat retention and seasonal norms around 22°C lows support the current trader positioning. Updated model runs overnight are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
18°C or below 59%
28°C or higher 58%
21°C 54%
27°C 51%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
59%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
54%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
35%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
51%
28°C or higher
58%
18°C or below 59%
28°C or higher 58%
21°C 54%
27°C 51%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$145 Wol.
59%
19°C
$54 Wol.
26%
20°C
$0 Wol.
28%
21°C
$0 Wol.
54%
22°C
$0 Wol.
24%
23°C
$0 Wol.
43%
24°C
$0 Wol.
35%
25°C
$0 Wol.
15%
26°C
$10 Wol.
25%
27°C
$145 Wol.
51%
28°C or higher
$145 Wol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Chinese weather services, indicate a nighttime low of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered showers on prior days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Recent precipitation has slightly suppressed daytime maxima and limited overnight temperature drops compared to drier analogs, while urban heat retention and seasonal norms around 22°C lows support the current trader positioning. Updated model runs overnight are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$499Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Chinese weather services, indicate a nighttime low of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered showers on prior days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Recent precipitation has slightly suppressed daytime maxima and limited overnight temperature drops compared to drier analogs, while urban heat retention and seasonal norms around 22°C lows support the current trader positioning. Updated model runs overnight are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$499Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Chinese weather services, indicate a nighttime low of 20–23°C for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to clearing skies following scattered showers on prior days. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Recent precipitation has slightly suppressed daytime maxima and limited overnight temperature drops compared to drier analogs, while urban heat retention and seasonal norms around 22°C lows support the current trader positioning. Updated model runs overnight are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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