**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong weather system are cooling Chongqing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below 23°C and driving the market's emphasis on 19°C or below (44.5% implied probability) alongside clustered outcomes around 22–23°C.** A period of heavy rain and thunderstorms from late August 28 through August 29 has lowered surface temperatures and increased humidity, with official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory guidance noting 20–37°C ranges for the 29th night into the 30th and 18–38°C thereafter. Multiple forecasts, including Yr.no (min ~23°C) and Worldmeteo (~22°C), show overnight minima suppressed by cloud cover that limits daytime heating while enhancing radiative cooling under lingering moisture. Historical August baselines in the city average near 26°C lows, so the current pattern represents a notable deviation tied to the passing system. Trader consensus reflected in the probabilities incorporates this short-term cooling alongside typical model spread for the final overnight hours of August 30. Upcoming local observatory updates and refined numerical guidance will clarify whether clearing skies allow rebound toward 24°C+ or sustain the cooler trajectory through resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 91%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 28%
19°C or below
91%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
10%
19°C or below 91%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 28%
19°C or below
91%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a strong weather system are cooling Chongqing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below 23°C and driving the market's emphasis on 19°C or below (44.5% implied probability) alongside clustered outcomes around 22–23°C.** A period of heavy rain and thunderstorms from late August 28 through August 29 has lowered surface temperatures and increased humidity, with official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory guidance noting 20–37°C ranges for the 29th night into the 30th and 18–38°C thereafter. Multiple forecasts, including Yr.no (min ~23°C) and Worldmeteo (~22°C), show overnight minima suppressed by cloud cover that limits daytime heating while enhancing radiative cooling under lingering moisture. Historical August baselines in the city average near 26°C lows, so the current pattern represents a notable deviation tied to the passing system. Trader consensus reflected in the probabilities incorporates this short-term cooling alongside typical model spread for the final overnight hours of August 30. Upcoming local observatory updates and refined numerical guidance will clarify whether clearing skies allow rebound toward 24°C+ or sustain the cooler trajectory through resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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