**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, reflects high uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily low near 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with historical September averages around 24°C and recent years showing similar overnight readings of 23–26°C under comparable humidity and cloud cover. Persistent high humidity (often 70–90%), light variable winds, and widespread cloudiness or scattered showers limit radiational cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Official and model guidance (including NHC/NOAA-adjacent regional patterns and local Chinese meteorological updates) points to a mostly cloudy night with possible light rain, which further moderates temperature falls. The near-even probabilities across 24–27°C (each ~45–48%) and elevated weighting on “20°C or below” (~46%) capture model spread and real-time observation variability—small differences in cloud timing, precipitation intensity, or wind shifts can shift the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher thresholds (28°C+) carry negligible implied probability, consistent with climatology where September minima rarely exceed ~27°C without exceptional clear, dry conditions. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final official station data (typically from Guangzhou Baiyun or central observatories), with any late-evening convective activity or clearer breaks providing the key differentiator among the clustered outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
20°C or below 100%
22°C 92%
23°C 90%
21°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
100%
21°C
18%
22°C
92%
23°C
90%
24°C
-
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 100%
22°C 92%
23°C 90%
21°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
21°C
$0 Wol.
18%
22°C
$231 Wol.
92%
23°C
$72 Wol.
90%
24°C
$72 Wol.
-
25°C
$67 Wol.
47%
26°C
$54 Wol.
47%
27°C
$68 Wol.
-
28°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, reflects high uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily low near 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with historical September averages around 24°C and recent years showing similar overnight readings of 23–26°C under comparable humidity and cloud cover.
Persistent high humidity (often 70–90%), light variable winds, and widespread cloudiness or scattered showers limit radiational cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Official and model guidance (including NHC/NOAA-adjacent regional patterns and local Chinese meteorological updates) points to a mostly cloudy night with possible light rain, which further moderates temperature falls.
The near-even probabilities across 24–27°C (each ~45–48%) and elevated weighting on “20°C or below” (~46%) capture model spread and real-time observation variability—small differences in cloud timing, precipitation intensity, or wind shifts can shift the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher thresholds (28°C+) carry negligible implied probability, consistent with climatology where September minima rarely exceed ~27°C without exceptional clear, dry conditions.
Upcoming resolution will hinge on final official station data (typically from Guangzhou Baiyun or central observatories), with any late-evening convective activity or clearer breaks providing the key differentiator among the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$599Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, reflects high uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily low near 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with historical September averages around 24°C and recent years showing similar overnight readings of 23–26°C under comparable humidity and cloud cover.
Persistent high humidity (often 70–90%), light variable winds, and widespread cloudiness or scattered showers limit radiational cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Official and model guidance (including NHC/NOAA-adjacent regional patterns and local Chinese meteorological updates) points to a mostly cloudy night with possible light rain, which further moderates temperature falls.
The near-even probabilities across 24–27°C (each ~45–48%) and elevated weighting on “20°C or below” (~46%) capture model spread and real-time observation variability—small differences in cloud timing, precipitation intensity, or wind shifts can shift the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher thresholds (28°C+) carry negligible implied probability, consistent with climatology where September minima rarely exceed ~27°C without exceptional clear, dry conditions.
Upcoming resolution will hinge on final official station data (typically from Guangzhou Baiyun or central observatories), with any late-evening convective activity or clearer breaks providing the key differentiator among the clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$599Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16, 2026, reflects high uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily low near 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with historical September averages around 24°C and recent years showing similar overnight readings of 23–26°C under comparable humidity and cloud cover. Persistent high humidity (often 70–90%), light variable winds, and widespread cloudiness or scattered showers limit radiational cooling, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Official and model guidance (including NHC/NOAA-adjacent regional patterns and local Chinese meteorological updates) points to a mostly cloudy night with possible light rain, which further moderates temperature falls. The near-even probabilities across 24–27°C (each ~45–48%) and elevated weighting on “20°C or below” (~46%) capture model spread and real-time observation variability—small differences in cloud timing, precipitation intensity, or wind shifts can shift the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher thresholds (28°C+) carry negligible implied probability, consistent with climatology where September minima rarely exceed ~27°C without exceptional clear, dry conditions. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final official station data (typically from Guangzhou Baiyun or central observatories), with any late-evening convective activity or clearer breaks providing the key differentiator among the clustered outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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