Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
27°C 99.5%
20°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$651 Wol.
$651 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
20°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$651 Wol.
$651 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
No
21°C
$41 Wol.
No
22°C
$74 Wol.
No
23°C
$121 Wol.
No
24°C
$73 Wol.
No
25°C
$93 Wol.
No
26°C
$143 Wol.
No
27°C
$45 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$31 Wol.
No
29°C
$15 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$15 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$651Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$651Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent observational data and forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 17 stabilizing near 26–27°C amid a warm, moist subtropical air mass with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Persistent high dew points near 24–25°C and minimal synoptic forcing have limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 26°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows around 24–26°C, with current conditions lacking the cold fronts or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Traders are weighting the narrow window for any late-night clearing or wind shifts that might nudge the exact minimum slightly lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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