Current short-range model guidance for Madrid points to a persistent high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the September 3 minimum in the 23–26 °C range. This setup produces a compressed diurnal range typical of late-summer Iberia under subsiding air, where urban heat-island effects and low dew points further elevate overnight readings above the early-September climatological baseline of ~17–18 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly because small forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could trim the low by 2–4 °C, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or Atlantic flow would push it higher. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the heat dome weakens before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
26°C 87%
23°C 85%
25°C 85%
22°C 84%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
52%
19°C
46%
20°C
47%
21°C
42%
22°C
84%
23°C
85%
24°C
2%
25°C
85%
26°C
87%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
42%
26°C 87%
23°C 85%
25°C 85%
22°C 84%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
52%
19°C
$0 Wol.
46%
20°C
$0 Wol.
47%
21°C
$0 Wol.
42%
22°C
$5 Wol.
84%
23°C
$5 Wol.
85%
24°C
$5 Wol.
2%
25°C
$5 Wol.
85%
26°C
$5 Wol.
87%
27°C
$5 Wol.
8%
28°C or higher
$5 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance for Madrid points to a persistent high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the September 3 minimum in the 23–26 °C range. This setup produces a compressed diurnal range typical of late-summer Iberia under subsiding air, where urban heat-island effects and low dew points further elevate overnight readings above the early-September climatological baseline of ~17–18 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly because small forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could trim the low by 2–4 °C, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or Atlantic flow would push it higher. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the heat dome weakens before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance for Madrid points to a persistent high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the September 3 minimum in the 23–26 °C range. This setup produces a compressed diurnal range typical of late-summer Iberia under subsiding air, where urban heat-island effects and low dew points further elevate overnight readings above the early-September climatological baseline of ~17–18 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly because small forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could trim the low by 2–4 °C, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or Atlantic flow would push it higher. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the heat dome weakens before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance for Madrid points to a persistent high-pressure ridge with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the September 3 minimum in the 23–26 °C range. This setup produces a compressed diurnal range typical of late-summer Iberia under subsiding air, where urban heat-island effects and low dew points further elevate overnight readings above the early-September climatological baseline of ~17–18 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly because small forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could trim the low by 2–4 °C, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or Atlantic flow would push it higher. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the heat dome weakens before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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