Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15 point to an overnight low near 82°F amid typical late-summer conditions of high sea-surface temperatures, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical August normals of 78–80°F but reflect a modest warm anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Trader consensus heavily favors the 82–83°F bin at 52% implied probability, followed by 80–81°F at 25.5%, as model guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution and no frontal passages or tropical moisture surges to alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
82-83°F 54%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
54%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 54%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
$428 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$428 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$553 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$265 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$43 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$154 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$83 Wol.
11%
80-81°F
$45 Wol.
25%
82-83°F
$163 Wol.
54%
84-85°F
$61 Wol.
11%
86°F or higher
$440 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15 point to an overnight low near 82°F amid typical late-summer conditions of high sea-surface temperatures, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical August normals of 78–80°F but reflect a modest warm anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Trader consensus heavily favors the 82–83°F bin at 52% implied probability, followed by 80–81°F at 25.5%, as model guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution and no frontal passages or tropical moisture surges to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,664Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15 point to an overnight low near 82°F amid typical late-summer conditions of high sea-surface temperatures, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical August normals of 78–80°F but reflect a modest warm anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Trader consensus heavily favors the 82–83°F bin at 52% implied probability, followed by 80–81°F at 25.5%, as model guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution and no frontal passages or tropical moisture surges to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,664Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15 point to an overnight low near 82°F amid typical late-summer conditions of high sea-surface temperatures, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical August normals of 78–80°F but reflect a modest warm anomaly driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Trader consensus heavily favors the 82–83°F bin at 52% implied probability, followed by 80–81°F at 25.5%, as model guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution and no frontal passages or tropical moisture surges to alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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