Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 Wol.
$5,224 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
86%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 Wol.
$5,224 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$375 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$203 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$346 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$339 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$767 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$265 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$521 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$649 Wol.
86%
82-83°F
$794 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$610 Wol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$360 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,224Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,224Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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