Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate partly cloudy conditions over Munich through September 20, with overnight radiational cooling under light southwest winds supporting a minimum near 11–13 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 9.5 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 7–10 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide, reflecting typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing two days out; a faster clearing trend or weaker gradient flow could allow greater cooling to the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or wind would favor the higher probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 20th will likely narrow the implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 20?
7°C 39%
8°C 25%
9°C 24%
10°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
6°C or below
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
24%
10°C
23%
11°C
11%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
4%
7°C 39%
8°C 25%
9°C 24%
10°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
17%
7°C
$0 Wol.
39%
8°C
$5 Wol.
25%
9°C
$0 Wol.
24%
10°C
$0 Wol.
23%
11°C
$0 Wol.
11%
12°C
$0 Wol.
11%
13°C
$0 Wol.
7%
14°C
$0 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
4%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate partly cloudy conditions over Munich through September 20, with overnight radiational cooling under light southwest winds supporting a minimum near 11–13 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 9.5 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 7–10 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide, reflecting typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing two days out; a faster clearing trend or weaker gradient flow could allow greater cooling to the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or wind would favor the higher probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 20th will likely narrow the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate partly cloudy conditions over Munich through September 20, with overnight radiational cooling under light southwest winds supporting a minimum near 11–13 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 9.5 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 7–10 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide, reflecting typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing two days out; a faster clearing trend or weaker gradient flow could allow greater cooling to the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or wind would favor the higher probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 20th will likely narrow the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate partly cloudy conditions over Munich through September 20, with overnight radiational cooling under light southwest winds supporting a minimum near 11–13 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 9.5 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 7–10 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide, reflecting typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing two days out; a faster clearing trend or weaker gradient flow could allow greater cooling to the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or wind would favor the higher probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the 20th will likely narrow the implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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