Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 14 near 20–21°C amid overcast skies, light showers, and moderate humidity typical of early plum rain season. These conditions align with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C overnight lows, supporting the market's overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the resolution outcome. Official observations from agencies tracking daily extremes reinforce this range, with limited model divergence expected given stable steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or measurement threshold at a specific station, though current data show low likelihood of deviation below 19°C or above 21°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$54,388 Wol.
$54,388 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$54,388 Wol.
$54,388 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$2,214 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$3,555 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$2,814 Wol.
1%
20°C
$4,156 Wol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$6,841 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$7,623 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$7,799 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,811 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 14 near 20–21°C amid overcast skies, light showers, and moderate humidity typical of early plum rain season. These conditions align with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C overnight lows, supporting the market's overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the resolution outcome. Official observations from agencies tracking daily extremes reinforce this range, with limited model divergence expected given stable steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or measurement threshold at a specific station, though current data show low likelihood of deviation below 19°C or above 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$54,388Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 14 near 20–21°C amid overcast skies, light showers, and moderate humidity typical of early plum rain season. These conditions align with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C overnight lows, supporting the market's overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the resolution outcome. Official observations from agencies tracking daily extremes reinforce this range, with limited model divergence expected given stable steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or measurement threshold at a specific station, though current data show low likelihood of deviation below 19°C or above 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$54,388Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 14 near 20–21°C amid overcast skies, light showers, and moderate humidity typical of early plum rain season. These conditions align with June climatological baselines of 20–22°C overnight lows, supporting the market's overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the resolution outcome. Official observations from agencies tracking daily extremes reinforce this range, with limited model divergence expected given stable steering patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or measurement threshold at a specific station, though current data show low likelihood of deviation below 19°C or above 21°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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