Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around typical late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where diurnal cooling is moderated by sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and prevailing westerly flow. Recent forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, supporting the clustered probabilities near 24–28°C while the 41% on 21°C or below implies potential for stronger radiative cooling or a brief northerly shift. Key differentiators include urban heat-island effects versus coastal advection, humidity-driven cloud cover that reduces nighttime temperature drops, and the timing of the daily minimum relative to sunrise. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and regional reanalysis will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
21°C or below 82%
23°C 63%
22°C 62%
24°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
82%
22°C
62%
23°C
63%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 82%
23°C 63%
22°C 62%
24°C 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Wol.
82%
22°C
$145 Wol.
62%
23°C
$144 Wol.
63%
24°C
$0 Wol.
34%
25°C
$0 Wol.
34%
26°C
$0 Wol.
34%
27°C
$0 Wol.
34%
28°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$266 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$274 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$257 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around typical late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where diurnal cooling is moderated by sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and prevailing westerly flow. Recent forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, supporting the clustered probabilities near 24–28°C while the 41% on 21°C or below implies potential for stronger radiative cooling or a brief northerly shift. Key differentiators include urban heat-island effects versus coastal advection, humidity-driven cloud cover that reduces nighttime temperature drops, and the timing of the daily minimum relative to sunrise. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and regional reanalysis will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,237Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around typical late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where diurnal cooling is moderated by sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and prevailing westerly flow. Recent forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, supporting the clustered probabilities near 24–28°C while the 41% on 21°C or below implies potential for stronger radiative cooling or a brief northerly shift. Key differentiators include urban heat-island effects versus coastal advection, humidity-driven cloud cover that reduces nighttime temperature drops, and the timing of the daily minimum relative to sunrise. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and regional reanalysis will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,237Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's August 21 minimum temperature reflects model consensus around typical late-summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where diurnal cooling is moderated by sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and prevailing westerly flow. Recent forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, supporting the clustered probabilities near 24–28°C while the 41% on 21°C or below implies potential for stronger radiative cooling or a brief northerly shift. Key differentiators include urban heat-island effects versus coastal advection, humidity-driven cloud cover that reduces nighttime temperature drops, and the timing of the daily minimum relative to sunrise. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and regional reanalysis will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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