Michigan's open-seat 2026 gubernatorial contest features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the two-term secretary of state who secured her party's primary with 83% on August 4, against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary with roughly 50%. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by 5–6 points, though several surveys remain within the margin of error. Michigan's term limits on incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and the state's recent record of narrow partisan margins contribute to trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee an 85.5% implied probability of victory. An independent candidacy and the November 3 general-election timeline remain the principal variables that could still alter the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 86%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$198,019 Wol.
$198,019 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
86%
Republican
15%
Independent
1%
Democrat 86%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$198,019 Wol.
$198,019 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$47,149 Wol.
86%
Republican
$150,254 Wol.
15%
Independent
$616 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open-seat 2026 gubernatorial contest features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the two-term secretary of state who secured her party's primary with 83% on August 4, against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary with roughly 50%. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by 5–6 points, though several surveys remain within the margin of error. Michigan's term limits on incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and the state's recent record of narrow partisan margins contribute to trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee an 85.5% implied probability of victory. An independent candidacy and the November 3 general-election timeline remain the principal variables that could still alter the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$198,019Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open-seat 2026 gubernatorial contest features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the two-term secretary of state who secured her party's primary with 83% on August 4, against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary with roughly 50%. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by 5–6 points, though several surveys remain within the margin of error. Michigan's term limits on incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and the state's recent record of narrow partisan margins contribute to trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee an 85.5% implied probability of victory. An independent candidacy and the November 3 general-election timeline remain the principal variables that could still alter the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$198,019Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open-seat 2026 gubernatorial contest features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the two-term secretary of state who secured her party's primary with 83% on August 4, against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP primary with roughly 50%. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by 5–6 points, though several surveys remain within the margin of error. Michigan's term limits on incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and the state's recent record of narrow partisan margins contribute to trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee an 85.5% implied probability of victory. An independent candidacy and the November 3 general-election timeline remain the principal variables that could still alter the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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