Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-06 House Election Winner
$37,446 Wol.
$37,446 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$37,446 Wol.
$37,446 Wol.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania