Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBruce Blakeman 95%
Elise Stefanik 2.2%
Pat Hahn 2.1%
Betsy McCaughey <1%
$90,583 Wol.
$90,583 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Bruce Blakeman
95%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Pat Hahn
2%
Betsy McCaughey
1%
David Tulley
<1%
Bruce Blakeman 95%
Elise Stefanik 2.2%
Pat Hahn 2.1%
Betsy McCaughey <1%
$90,583 Wol.
$90,583 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Bruce Blakeman
$13,019 Wol.
95%
Elise Stefanik
$11,733 Wol.
2%
Pat Hahn
$2,865 Wol.
2%
Betsy McCaughey
$21,886 Wol.
1%
David Tulley
$41,081 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$90,583Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Wolumen
$90,583Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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