North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
3 42.0%
2 30%
4+ 20.9%
1 2.8%
$52,201 Wol.
$52,201 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
1
3%
2
30%
3
42%
4+
21%
3 42.0%
2 30%
4+ 20.9%
1 2.8%
$52,201 Wol.
$52,201 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
1
$14,672 Wol.
3%
2
$5,100 Wol.
30%
3
$3,311 Wol.
42%
4+
$5,810 Wol.
21%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$52,201Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Wolumen
$52,201Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania