Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District through strong progressive endorsements, including from Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders, alongside her record as a state assemblymember and union organizer focused on housing and labor issues. Official results showed her defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points, with approximately 56% of the vote to his 36%, reflecting consolidated support in key Brooklyn and Queens precincts. Traders assign near-certainty to a margin exceeding 15% based on these certified tallies and the absence of meaningful outstanding challenges or recounts. Late shifts in turnout or final vote audits represent the primary remaining variables that could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in safe Democratic districts limit such adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-07 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
NY-07 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Valdez 15%+ 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Other <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Wol.
$40,286 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Valdez 15%+
99%
Valdez 10–15%
3%
Valdez 5–10%
<1%
Valdez <5%
<1%
Other
<1%
Valdez 15%+ 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Other <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Wol.
$40,286 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
Valdez 15%+
$6,998 Wol.
99%
Valdez 10–15%
$7,795 Wol.
3%
Valdez 5–10%
$5,715 Wol.
<1%
Valdez <5%
$6,184 Wol.
<1%
Other
$1,410 Wol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District through strong progressive endorsements, including from Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders, alongside her record as a state assemblymember and union organizer focused on housing and labor issues. Official results showed her defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points, with approximately 56% of the vote to his 36%, reflecting consolidated support in key Brooklyn and Queens precincts. Traders assign near-certainty to a margin exceeding 15% based on these certified tallies and the absence of meaningful outstanding challenges or recounts. Late shifts in turnout or final vote audits represent the primary remaining variables that could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in safe Democratic districts limit such adjustments.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,286Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District through strong progressive endorsements, including from Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders, alongside her record as a state assemblymember and union organizer focused on housing and labor issues. Official results showed her defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points, with approximately 56% of the vote to his 36%, reflecting consolidated support in key Brooklyn and Queens precincts. Traders assign near-certainty to a margin exceeding 15% based on these certified tallies and the absence of meaningful outstanding challenges or recounts. Late shifts in turnout or final vote audits represent the primary remaining variables that could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in safe Democratic districts limit such adjustments.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$40,286Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District through strong progressive endorsements, including from Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders, alongside her record as a state assemblymember and union organizer focused on housing and labor issues. Official results showed her defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points, with approximately 56% of the vote to his 36%, reflecting consolidated support in key Brooklyn and Queens precincts. Traders assign near-certainty to a margin exceeding 15% based on these certified tallies and the absence of meaningful outstanding challenges or recounts. Late shifts in turnout or final vote audits represent the primary remaining variables that could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns in safe Democratic districts limit such adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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