The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, most of which were won outright in the prior general election. This structural advantage, combined with President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s completed candidate selections for key districts, underpins trader consensus favoring 10 or more seats at 72.3 percent. The main opposition People Power Party remains fragmented following earlier crises, limiting its ability to challenge DP strongholds even in traditional conservative areas like Busan. Concurrent local elections further amplify the ruling party’s organizational edge and turnout dynamics. No major scandals or shifts in opposition unity have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
10+ 66.1%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,559 Wol.
$34,559 Wol.
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
15%
10+
72%
10+ 66.1%
8-9 5.0%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,559 Wol.
$34,559 Wol.
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
$3,928 Wol.
<1%
2-3
$5,328 Wol.
<1%
4-5
$3,763 Wol.
<1%
6-7
$3,754 Wol.
<1%
8-9
$4,426 Wol.
15%
10+
$13,360 Wol.
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, most of which were won outright in the prior general election. This structural advantage, combined with President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s completed candidate selections for key districts, underpins trader consensus favoring 10 or more seats at 72.3 percent. The main opposition People Power Party remains fragmented following earlier crises, limiting its ability to challenge DP strongholds even in traditional conservative areas like Busan. Concurrent local elections further amplify the ruling party’s organizational edge and turnout dynamics. No major scandals or shifts in opposition unity have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,559Data zakończenia
Jun 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, most of which were won outright in the prior general election. This structural advantage, combined with President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s completed candidate selections for key districts, underpins trader consensus favoring 10 or more seats at 72.3 percent. The main opposition People Power Party remains fragmented following earlier crises, limiting its ability to challenge DP strongholds even in traditional conservative areas like Busan. Concurrent local elections further amplify the ruling party’s organizational edge and turnout dynamics. No major scandals or shifts in opposition unity have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Wolumen
$34,559Data zakończenia
Jun 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, most of which were won outright in the prior general election. This structural advantage, combined with President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s completed candidate selections for key districts, underpins trader consensus favoring 10 or more seats at 72.3 percent. The main opposition People Power Party remains fragmented following earlier crises, limiting its ability to challenge DP strongholds even in traditional conservative areas like Busan. Concurrent local elections further amplify the ruling party’s organizational edge and turnout dynamics. No major scandals or shifts in opposition unity have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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