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PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 95%

Lamont McClure 3.6%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.8%

Ryan Crosswell 1.8%

Polymarket

$29,677 Wol.

Bob Brooks 95%

Lamont McClure 3.6%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.8%

Ryan Crosswell 1.8%

Polymarket

$29,677 Wol.

Bob Brooks

$4,959 Wol.

95%

Lamont McClure

$6,138 Wol.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,987 Wol.

2%

Ryan Crosswell

$5,074 Wol.

2%

Aiden Gonzalez

$3,089 Wol.

<1%

Lewis Shupe

$4,430 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for May 19, as reflected in trader consensus on the prediction market. His lead stems from recent polling momentum, including a seven-point advantage in an April survey of likely voters, alongside endorsements from the DCCC, Governor Josh Shapiro, and major unions such as the International Association of Fire Fighters. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, Brooks has emphasized working-class priorities like affordability and wages in the Lehigh Valley swing district. Outside spending has further bolstered his visibility, while competitors including former Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure and former prosecutor Ryan Crosswell trail amid fragmented support and reports of negative advertising. Late developments such as turnout shifts or additional independent expenditures could still influence the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$29,677
Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for May 19, as reflected in trader consensus on the prediction market. His lead stems from recent polling momentum, including a seven-point advantage in an April survey of likely voters, alongside endorsements from the DCCC, Governor Josh Shapiro, and major unions such as the International Association of Fire Fighters. As president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, Brooks has emphasized working-class priorities like affordability and wages in the Lehigh Valley swing district. Outside spending has further bolstered his visibility, while competitors including former Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure and former prosecutor Ryan Crosswell trail amid fragmented support and reports of negative advertising. Late developments such as turnout shifts or additional independent expenditures could still influence the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$29,677
Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Bob Brooks" z 95%, za nim "Lamont McClure" z 4%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 95¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" wygenerował $29.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Mar 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" jest "Bob Brooks" z 95%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lamont McClure" z 4%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.