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icon for Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru

Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru

icon for Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru

Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru

Keiko Fujimori 99.6%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,667 Wol.

Keiko Fujimori 99.6%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,667 Wol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$937,782 Wol.

100%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$386,271 Wol.

1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$219,739 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$195,412 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$204,210 Wol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$23,181 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$20,542 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$39,378 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,878 Wol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$19,821 Wol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$24,448 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$19,372 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$27,488 Wol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$41,515 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$16,997 Wol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,764 Wol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$13,835 Wol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$17,108 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$159,265 Wol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$106,007 Wol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$10,668 Wol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$8,790 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$11,193 Wol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus at 99.6% for Peru's presidential first-round winner stems from the Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE) completing its tally at over 99.99% as of May 15, 2026, confirming her 17.18% lead with 2.88 million votes amid a highly fragmented field where no candidate exceeded 50%. Prolonged vote counting from the chaotic April 12-13 election—marked by ballot delays, station extensions, and thousands of observed actas—resolved without altering her position, despite fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga rejected by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones (JNE). Official JNE proclamation is set for May 17 ahead of the June 7 runoff. Rare shifts could arise from late impugnations or audits uncovering irregularities, though EU observers validated the process.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Wolumen
$2,553,667
Data zakończenia
Apr 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus at 99.6% for Peru's presidential first-round winner stems from the Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE) completing its tally at over 99.99% as of May 15, 2026, confirming her 17.18% lead with 2.88 million votes amid a highly fragmented field where no candidate exceeded 50%. Prolonged vote counting from the chaotic April 12-13 election—marked by ballot delays, station extensions, and thousands of observed actas—resolved without altering her position, despite fraud allegations from third-place Rafael López Aliaga rejected by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones (JNE). Official JNE proclamation is set for May 17 ahead of the June 7 runoff. Rare shifts could arise from late impugnations or audits uncovering irregularities, though EU observers validated the process.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Wolumen
$2,553,667
Data zakończenia
Apr 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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Często zadawane pytania

"Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 23 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Keiko Fujimori" z 100%, za nim "Rafael López Aliaga" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru" wygenerował $2.6 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Mar 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru", przeglądaj 23 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru" jest "Keiko Fujimori" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Rafael López Aliaga" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Peru" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.