This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida governor, reflecting recent polling that shows him capturing 54 percent support among likely GOP voters. President Trump's endorsement has accelerated consolidation of Republican backing, enabling Donalds to draw undecided voters at a faster rate than competitors and widen his margin over James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. These dynamics have limited traction for lower-polling entrants such as Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis. The August primary timeline keeps focus on sustained voter consolidation and any late campaign developments that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Congressman Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida governor, reflecting recent polling that shows him capturing 54 percent support among likely GOP voters. President Trump's endorsement has accelerated consolidation of Republican backing, enabling Donalds to draw undecided voters at a faster rate than competitors and widen his margin over James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. These dynamics have limited traction for lower-polling entrants such as Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis. The August primary timeline keeps focus on sustained voter consolidation and any late campaign developments that could still influence the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 29 2026
Jay Collins’ market price slides to 5% after missing debate invitation
Collins was not invited to the televised GOP debate, signaling limited party support and pushing his price down to single digits.
Apr 18 2026
James Fishback’s poll numbers dip below 10% after fundraising reports
James Fishback dips to 9%3%
Fishback disclosed a modest $500,000 fundraising total, causing his market price to fall from 12% to 9% as donors shifted to Donalds.
Byron Donalds reached a peak market price of 93%, reflecting strong confidence in his likelihood to win the Republican primary for Florida governor as other candidates' support waned.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds peaks at 93% after winning key endorsement from Florida Senate President
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%5%
The Florida Senate President publicly endorsed Donalds, creating a brief market peak to 93% before a modest pullback, while all other candidates fell to near‑zero.
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Mar 14 2026
Byron Donalds hits 87% price after DeSantis hints at endorsement
Byron Donalds jumps to 87%5%
Governor Ron DeSantis said he would consider endorsing a candidate but did not name anyone; market inferred likely support for Donalds, sending his price to 87% and further marginalizing others.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds maintains strong lead in Florida GOP gubernatorial primary market
Byron Donalds rises to 81%2%
Byron Donalds' market price remained high following his early announcement and Trump's endorsement, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Republican primary.
Feb 19 2026
National Governors Association meeting disrupted by Trump excluding Democrats
The annual governors' meeting in Washington was upended after President Trump excluded Democratic governors from White House events, highlighting partisan tensions that may influence Republican primaries including Florida's.
Feb 10 2026
Byron Donalds reaches 81% market price after fundraising surge
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Donald’s campaign reported a $15 million fundraising haul, reinforcing his frontrunner status and pushing his market price to a new high.
Jan 12 2026
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins joins 2026 governor Republican primary
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins officially announced his candidacy for governor, entering a primary field that already included Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.
During a televised GOP forum, Donalds outperformed rivals in a Q&A session, leading to a price jump from 81% to 82% as market participants interpreted his strong showing as a sign of inevitable nomination.
Dec 22 2025
Trump publicly praises Byron Donalds as preferred Florida governor candidate
Byron Donalds jumps to 81%11%
President Trump reiterated his support for Donalds in a televised interview, prompting a further price rise for Donalds to the low 80s and a corresponding decline for other candidates.
Dec 20 2025
Governor Ron DeSantis declines to endorse any primary candidate
DeSantis' neutrality removed a potential boost for other contenders, reinforcing Donalds' lead and contributing to the continued decline of the remaining candidates toward zero.
Dec 16 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces run for governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Collins' entry added a high‑profile state official to the field, briefly lifting his price from single digits to low‑teens before his support waned as Donalds' endorsement dominated the narrative.
Dec 12 2025
Poll shows Byron Donalds leading Republican primary field
Byron Donalds jumps to 70%10%
A statewide poll released in mid‑December gave Donalds a double‑digit lead over his rivals, reinforcing his upward price trajectory to the low 70s.
Dec 9 2025
Azoria CEO James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 36%7%
James Fishback entered the race, positioning himself as a business outsider; the announcement shifted attention away from other fringe candidates, contributing to a modest dip in his own price and a slight rise for Donalds.
Dec 4 2025
James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 33%10%
Entrepreneur James Fishback entered the race, drawing limited media attention; his market price fell from 43% to the low 30s as donors and voters focused on higher‑profile candidates.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 2 2025
Donald Trump endorses Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor
Byron Donalds jumps to 62%14%
Former President Trump publicly backed Byron Donalds, giving the candidate a major boost in national visibility and signaling party establishment support, which drove Donalds' price from the low‑40s to the high‑60s percent range.
Dec 2 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 Florida governor race
Jay Collins plunges to 12%30%
Jay Collins announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a DeSantis ally but without a clear endorsement, which coincided with a sharp drop in his market price from 42% to the low single digits over the following weeks.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed rival
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Gov. Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for governor, entering the Republican primary against Trump-backed Byron Donalds. Collins' entry introduced a significant challenger and caused market shifts among candidates.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida governor, reflecting recent polling that shows him capturing 54 percent support among likely GOP voters. President Trump's endorsement has accelerated consolidation of Republican backing, enabling Donalds to draw undecided voters at a faster rate than competitors and widen his margin over James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. These dynamics have limited traction for lower-polling entrants such as Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis. The August primary timeline keeps focus on sustained voter consolidation and any late campaign developments that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Congressman Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida governor, reflecting recent polling that shows him capturing 54 percent support among likely GOP voters. President Trump's endorsement has accelerated consolidation of Republican backing, enabling Donalds to draw undecided voters at a faster rate than competitors and widen his margin over James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. These dynamics have limited traction for lower-polling entrants such as Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis. The August primary timeline keeps focus on sustained voter consolidation and any late campaign developments that could still influence the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 29 2026
Jay Collins’ market price slides to 5% after missing debate invitation
Collins was not invited to the televised GOP debate, signaling limited party support and pushing his price down to single digits.
Apr 18 2026
James Fishback’s poll numbers dip below 10% after fundraising reports
James Fishback dips to 9%3%
Fishback disclosed a modest $500,000 fundraising total, causing his market price to fall from 12% to 9% as donors shifted to Donalds.
Byron Donalds reached a peak market price of 93%, reflecting strong confidence in his likelihood to win the Republican primary for Florida governor as other candidates' support waned.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds peaks at 93% after winning key endorsement from Florida Senate President
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%5%
The Florida Senate President publicly endorsed Donalds, creating a brief market peak to 93% before a modest pullback, while all other candidates fell to near‑zero.
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Mar 14 2026
Byron Donalds hits 87% price after DeSantis hints at endorsement
Byron Donalds jumps to 87%5%
Governor Ron DeSantis said he would consider endorsing a candidate but did not name anyone; market inferred likely support for Donalds, sending his price to 87% and further marginalizing others.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds maintains strong lead in Florida GOP gubernatorial primary market
Byron Donalds rises to 81%2%
Byron Donalds' market price remained high following his early announcement and Trump's endorsement, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Republican primary.
Feb 19 2026
National Governors Association meeting disrupted by Trump excluding Democrats
The annual governors' meeting in Washington was upended after President Trump excluded Democratic governors from White House events, highlighting partisan tensions that may influence Republican primaries including Florida's.
Feb 10 2026
Byron Donalds reaches 81% market price after fundraising surge
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Donald’s campaign reported a $15 million fundraising haul, reinforcing his frontrunner status and pushing his market price to a new high.
Jan 12 2026
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins joins 2026 governor Republican primary
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins officially announced his candidacy for governor, entering a primary field that already included Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.
During a televised GOP forum, Donalds outperformed rivals in a Q&A session, leading to a price jump from 81% to 82% as market participants interpreted his strong showing as a sign of inevitable nomination.
Dec 22 2025
Trump publicly praises Byron Donalds as preferred Florida governor candidate
Byron Donalds jumps to 81%11%
President Trump reiterated his support for Donalds in a televised interview, prompting a further price rise for Donalds to the low 80s and a corresponding decline for other candidates.
Dec 20 2025
Governor Ron DeSantis declines to endorse any primary candidate
DeSantis' neutrality removed a potential boost for other contenders, reinforcing Donalds' lead and contributing to the continued decline of the remaining candidates toward zero.
Dec 16 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces run for governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Collins' entry added a high‑profile state official to the field, briefly lifting his price from single digits to low‑teens before his support waned as Donalds' endorsement dominated the narrative.
Dec 12 2025
Poll shows Byron Donalds leading Republican primary field
Byron Donalds jumps to 70%10%
A statewide poll released in mid‑December gave Donalds a double‑digit lead over his rivals, reinforcing his upward price trajectory to the low 70s.
Dec 9 2025
Azoria CEO James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 36%7%
James Fishback entered the race, positioning himself as a business outsider; the announcement shifted attention away from other fringe candidates, contributing to a modest dip in his own price and a slight rise for Donalds.
Dec 4 2025
James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 33%10%
Entrepreneur James Fishback entered the race, drawing limited media attention; his market price fell from 43% to the low 30s as donors and voters focused on higher‑profile candidates.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 2 2025
Donald Trump endorses Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor
Byron Donalds jumps to 62%14%
Former President Trump publicly backed Byron Donalds, giving the candidate a major boost in national visibility and signaling party establishment support, which drove Donalds' price from the low‑40s to the high‑60s percent range.
Dec 2 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 Florida governor race
Jay Collins plunges to 12%30%
Jay Collins announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a DeSantis ally but without a clear endorsement, which coincided with a sharp drop in his market price from 42% to the low single digits over the following weeks.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed rival
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Gov. Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for governor, entering the Republican primary against Trump-backed Byron Donalds. Collins' entry introduced a significant challenger and caused market shifts among candidates.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
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"Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Byron Donalds" z 88%, za nim "James Fishback" z 9%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 88¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 88% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" wygenerował $1.5 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 25, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" jest "Byron Donalds" z 88%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 88% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "James Fishback" z 9%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $1.5 million wolumenu na "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 88¢ za "Byron Donalds" na rynku "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 88% szansy na to, że "Byron Donalds" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 88¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 12¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Aug 18, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca" ma aktywną społeczność z 51 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na co postawiły największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Gubernator Florydy, republikański zwycięzca". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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