Skip to main content
icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

43% szansa
Polymarket

$23,307 Wol.

43% szansa
Polymarket

$23,307 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.RFK Jr. remains HHS Secretary amid ongoing implementation of Make America Healthy Again priorities, including recent congressional testimony on budget cuts and agency restructuring, alongside the May 2026 dismissal of U.S. Preventive Services Task Force leaders. This record of active policy shifts on vaccines, preventive care guidelines, and chronic disease initiatives has sustained friction with congressional oversight and some external critics, contributing to trader uncertainty about tenure stability through year-end. The near-even odds reflect competing pressures: alignment with administration goals and lack of formal removal proceedings versus repeated hearings, staff transitions, and calls for accountability that keep departure risks in play. Scheduled budget and confirmation-related developments could shift sentiment if they escalate or resolve without incident.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$23,307
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.RFK Jr. remains HHS Secretary amid ongoing implementation of Make America Healthy Again priorities, including recent congressional testimony on budget cuts and agency restructuring, alongside the May 2026 dismissal of U.S. Preventive Services Task Force leaders. This record of active policy shifts on vaccines, preventive care guidelines, and chronic disease initiatives has sustained friction with congressional oversight and some external critics, contributing to trader uncertainty about tenure stability through year-end. The near-even odds reflect competing pressures: alignment with administration goals and lack of formal removal proceedings versus repeated hearings, staff transitions, and calls for accountability that keep departure risks in play. Scheduled budget and confirmation-related developments could shift sentiment if they escalate or resolve without incident.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$23,307
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"RFK Jr. Out by December 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 43% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 43¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 43% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "RFK Jr. Out by December 31?" wygenerował $23.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Mar 19, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "RFK Jr. Out by December 31?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "RFK Jr. Out by December 31?" to 43% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 43% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "RFK Jr. Out by December 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.