Elaine Pelino holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island Republican primary on September 9, 2026, reflecting her consistent edge in available polling. A University of New Hampshire survey from June showed her at 42 percent support among likely Republican primary voters, well ahead of Aaron Guckian at 17 percent with a large undecided share. Earlier spring polling indicated a similar gap. Guckian secured the state GOP endorsement at the party convention in late June, yet this has not closed the polling deficit. Pelino, a first-time candidate positioning herself as a MAGA-aligned outsider, faces Guckian, the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and former Warwick Sewer Authority chair, in a contest where recent debates and voter sentiment appear to favor her positioning ahead of the primary. Minor candidates remain negligible in both surveys and market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoElaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 26.9%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$28,893 Wol.
$28,893 Wol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
27%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 26.9%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$28,893 Wol.
$28,893 Wol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
27%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds the lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island Republican primary on September 9, 2026, reflecting her consistent edge in available polling. A University of New Hampshire survey from June showed her at 42 percent support among likely Republican primary voters, well ahead of Aaron Guckian at 17 percent with a large undecided share. Earlier spring polling indicated a similar gap. Guckian secured the state GOP endorsement at the party convention in late June, yet this has not closed the polling deficit. Pelino, a first-time candidate positioning herself as a MAGA-aligned outsider, faces Guckian, the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and former Warwick Sewer Authority chair, in a contest where recent debates and voter sentiment appear to favor her positioning ahead of the primary. Minor candidates remain negligible in both surveys and market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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