Putin's highly centralized system, backed by loyal security services and a dominant United Russia structure, has shown no organized coup activity through mid-August 2026 despite sustained Ukraine war pressures. Isolated expressions of military discontent, such as a detained veteran's online appeals, were quickly contained without broader elite defections or institutional cracks. Approval ratings near 74 percent, combined with ongoing suppression of opposition and wartime economic controls, reinforce regime cohesion. Traders price the 93.5 percent "No" outcome on this record of stability, where historical patterns of rapid power consolidation continue to outweigh visible strains. Upcoming legislative elections add monitoring points but have not shifted the consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7% szansa
$126,094 Wol.
$126,094 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% szansa
$126,094 Wol.
$126,094 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's highly centralized system, backed by loyal security services and a dominant United Russia structure, has shown no organized coup activity through mid-August 2026 despite sustained Ukraine war pressures. Isolated expressions of military discontent, such as a detained veteran's online appeals, were quickly contained without broader elite defections or institutional cracks. Approval ratings near 74 percent, combined with ongoing suppression of opposition and wartime economic controls, reinforce regime cohesion. Traders price the 93.5 percent "No" outcome on this record of stability, where historical patterns of rapid power consolidation continue to outweigh visible strains. Upcoming legislative elections add monitoring points but have not shifted the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$126,094Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's highly centralized system, backed by loyal security services and a dominant United Russia structure, has shown no organized coup activity through mid-August 2026 despite sustained Ukraine war pressures. Isolated expressions of military discontent, such as a detained veteran's online appeals, were quickly contained without broader elite defections or institutional cracks. Approval ratings near 74 percent, combined with ongoing suppression of opposition and wartime economic controls, reinforce regime cohesion. Traders price the 93.5 percent "No" outcome on this record of stability, where historical patterns of rapid power consolidation continue to outweigh visible strains. Upcoming legislative elections add monitoring points but have not shifted the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$126,094Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin's highly centralized system, backed by loyal security services and a dominant United Russia structure, has shown no organized coup activity through mid-August 2026 despite sustained Ukraine war pressures. Isolated expressions of military discontent, such as a detained veteran's online appeals, were quickly contained without broader elite defections or institutional cracks. Approval ratings near 74 percent, combined with ongoing suppression of opposition and wartime economic controls, reinforce regime cohesion. Traders price the 93.5 percent "No" outcome on this record of stability, where historical patterns of rapid power consolidation continue to outweigh visible strains. Upcoming legislative elections add monitoring points but have not shifted the consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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