Google's Gemini models, particularly recent 3.7-flash-high variants, hold a strong second-place position in Text Arena Math Elo rankings behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 86.5% implied probability. This stems from consistent performance in human-preference math evaluations on complex reasoning tasks, where Google's multimodal integration and iterative updates have kept it ahead of OpenAI's GPT variants and others like Moonshot or Z.ai. With September 30 resolution imminent, traders see limited scope for disruptive new releases or benchmark shifts to alter the order, though rapid capability gains in large language models introduce ongoing uncertainty in the competitive AI lab landscape.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 87%
OpenAI 7.1%
Anthropic 2.8%
Meta 2.4%
$61,469 Wol.
$61,469 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
87%
OpenAI
7%
Anthropic
3%
Meta
2%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 7.1%
Anthropic 2.8%
Meta 2.4%
$61,469 Wol.
$61,469 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
$20,411 Wol.
87%
OpenAI
$7,003 Wol.
7%
Anthropic
$7,839 Wol.
3%
Meta
$1,645 Wol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,828 Wol.
2%
Alibaba
$5,852 Wol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,766 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,357 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$1,393 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,507 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,714 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,297 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,327 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models, particularly recent 3.7-flash-high variants, hold a strong second-place position in Text Arena Math Elo rankings behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 86.5% implied probability. This stems from consistent performance in human-preference math evaluations on complex reasoning tasks, where Google's multimodal integration and iterative updates have kept it ahead of OpenAI's GPT variants and others like Moonshot or Z.ai. With September 30 resolution imminent, traders see limited scope for disruptive new releases or benchmark shifts to alter the order, though rapid capability gains in large language models introduce ongoing uncertainty in the competitive AI lab landscape.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$61,469Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models, particularly recent 3.7-flash-high variants, hold a strong second-place position in Text Arena Math Elo rankings behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 86.5% implied probability. This stems from consistent performance in human-preference math evaluations on complex reasoning tasks, where Google's multimodal integration and iterative updates have kept it ahead of OpenAI's GPT variants and others like Moonshot or Z.ai. With September 30 resolution imminent, traders see limited scope for disruptive new releases or benchmark shifts to alter the order, though rapid capability gains in large language models introduce ongoing uncertainty in the competitive AI lab landscape.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$61,469Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models, particularly recent 3.7-flash-high variants, hold a strong second-place position in Text Arena Math Elo rankings behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 86.5% implied probability. This stems from consistent performance in human-preference math evaluations on complex reasoning tasks, where Google's multimodal integration and iterative updates have kept it ahead of OpenAI's GPT variants and others like Moonshot or Z.ai. With September 30 resolution imminent, traders see limited scope for disruptive new releases or benchmark shifts to alter the order, though rapid capability gains in large language models introduce ongoing uncertainty in the competitive AI lab landscape.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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