Incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a commanding lead in the June 9 South Carolina Republican Senate primary due to his long tenure, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $11 million in cash on hand, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump, Governor Henry McMaster, and Senator Tim Scott. A recent InsiderAdvantage poll showed Graham at 56 percent support, well above the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff, while main challenger Mark Lynch trailed at 13 percent amid a fragmented field that includes Paul Dans and Thomas Murphy. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural advantages and the limited consolidation of opposition votes. A late surge by Lynch through unified anti-incumbent messaging or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could still narrow the margin before primary day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSouth Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham 94%
Mark Lynch 5.5%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$144,749 Wol.
$144,749 Wol.
Lindsey Graham
94%
Mark Lynch
6%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 94%
Mark Lynch 5.5%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$144,749 Wol.
$144,749 Wol.
Lindsey Graham
94%
Mark Lynch
6%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a commanding lead in the June 9 South Carolina Republican Senate primary due to his long tenure, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $11 million in cash on hand, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump, Governor Henry McMaster, and Senator Tim Scott. A recent InsiderAdvantage poll showed Graham at 56 percent support, well above the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff, while main challenger Mark Lynch trailed at 13 percent amid a fragmented field that includes Paul Dans and Thomas Murphy. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural advantages and the limited consolidation of opposition votes. A late surge by Lynch through unified anti-incumbent messaging or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal could still narrow the margin before primary day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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