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Polityka·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Polityka·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Anthony Furey <1%

Polymarket

$129,165 Wol.

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Anthony Furey <1%

Polymarket

$129,165 Wol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$31,609 Wol.

85%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$35,009 Wol.

15%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$15,119 Wol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,321 Wol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$8,659 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$10,635 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,463 Wol.

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$8,348 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflected in trader consensus favoring her strongly over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent Liaison Strategies polling from late July shows Chow ahead 49-41 percent among decided voters, with her lead narrowing from earlier double-digit margins yet holding firm across most city regions. Bradford's campaign has gained traction in areas like Etobicoke and among voters seeking change, but Chow benefits from high name recognition as the sitting mayor and established support in key demographics. Minor candidates including Marco Mendicino register negligible backing, underscoring the two-way dynamic that shapes market probabilities ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Wolumen
$129,165
Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, reflected in trader consensus favoring her strongly over city councillor Brad Bradford. Recent Liaison Strategies polling from late July shows Chow ahead 49-41 percent among decided voters, with her lead narrowing from earlier double-digit margins yet holding firm across most city regions. Bradford's campaign has gained traction in areas like Etobicoke and among voters seeking change, but Chow benefits from high name recognition as the sitting mayor and established support in key demographics. Minor candidates including Marco Mendicino register negligible backing, underscoring the two-way dynamic that shapes market probabilities ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Wolumen
$129,165
Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Olivia Chow" z 85%, za nim "Brad Bradford" z 15%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 85¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" wygenerował $129.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Olivia Chow" z 85%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Brad Bradford" z 15%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.