The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoInne 100.0%
López Aliaga i López Chau <1%
López Aliaga i Nieto <1%
López Chau i Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Wol.
$1,181,384 Wol.
López Aliaga i López Chau
Nie
López Aliaga i Nieto
Nie
López Chau i Fujimori
Nie
López Chau i Nieto
Nie
López Chau i Sánchez Palomino
Nie
López Aliaga i Fujimori
Nie
López Aliaga i Sánchez Palomino
Nie
López Aliaga i Grozo
Nie
Fujimori i Nieto
Nie
Inne
Tak
Inne 100.0%
López Aliaga i López Chau <1%
López Aliaga i Nieto <1%
López Chau i Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Wol.
$1,181,384 Wol.
López Aliaga i López Chau
Nie
López Aliaga i Nieto
Nie
López Chau i Fujimori
Nie
López Chau i Nieto
Nie
López Chau i Sánchez Palomino
Nie
López Aliaga i Fujimori
Nie
López Aliaga i Sánchez Palomino
Nie
López Aliaga i Grozo
Nie
Fujimori i Nieto
Nie
Inne
Tak
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Rynek otwarty: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania