United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóra partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Jedna Rosja (ER) 59%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) 34.5%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.6%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 1.4%
$13,353,616 Wol.
$13,353,616 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER)
59%

Nowi Ludzie (NL)
35%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
6%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
1%

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
<1%
Jedna Rosja (ER) 59%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) 34.5%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.6%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 1.4%
$13,353,616 Wol.
$13,353,616 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER)
59%

Nowi Ludzie (NL)
35%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
6%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
1%

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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