Xavier Becerra has surged into the lead in recent Emerson College polling for California's June 2 top-two primary, drawing support from Democratic voters after Eric Swalwell's withdrawal consolidated the fragmented field. The nonpartisan primary allows the top two finishers—regardless of party—to advance, with trader attention focused on whether Becerra and Steve Hilton will secure those spots amid a crowded ballot that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Chad Bianco, and Matt Mahan. Hilton benefits from President Trump's endorsement, which has helped consolidate Republican support and eased earlier concerns that two GOP candidates might advance. A recent debate saw rivals targeting Becerra on ethics and experience, while undecided voters remain above 25 percent in some surveys. Mail ballots are already arriving, and final endorsements from figures like Nancy Pelosi or Kamala Harris could still shift late momentum before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$662,896 Wol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
52%
Matt Mahan
7%
Kyle Langford
4%
Chad Bianco
3%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Raji Rab
3%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Daniel Mercuri
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Elaine Culotti
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
$662,896 Wol.
Steve Hilton
74%
Xavier Becerra
68%
Tom Steyer
52%
Matt Mahan
7%
Kyle Langford
4%
Chad Bianco
3%
Jimmy Parker
3%
Raji Rab
3%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Ryan Tillman
2%
Daniel Mercuri
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Elaine Culotti
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Javen Allen
7%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sharifah Hardie
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xavier Becerra has surged into the lead in recent Emerson College polling for California's June 2 top-two primary, drawing support from Democratic voters after Eric Swalwell's withdrawal consolidated the fragmented field. The nonpartisan primary allows the top two finishers—regardless of party—to advance, with trader attention focused on whether Becerra and Steve Hilton will secure those spots amid a crowded ballot that includes Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Chad Bianco, and Matt Mahan. Hilton benefits from President Trump's endorsement, which has helped consolidate Republican support and eased earlier concerns that two GOP candidates might advance. A recent debate saw rivals targeting Becerra on ethics and experience, while undecided voters remain above 25 percent in some surveys. Mail ballots are already arriving, and final endorsements from figures like Nancy Pelosi or Kamala Harris could still shift late momentum before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania