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Polityka·Bliski Wschód

Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?

icon for Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?
Polityka·Bliski Wschód

Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?

Benjamin Netanjahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Awigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,183,831 Wol.

Benjamin Netanjahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Awigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,183,831 Wol.

Benjamin Netanjahu

$751,328 Wol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Wol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,251 Wol.

12%

Awigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Wol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,545 Wol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,647 Wol.

1%

Israel Katz

$157,502 Wol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$525,243 Wol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$325,133 Wol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,036 Wol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,161 Wol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,034 Wol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$479,857 Wol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$711,390 Wol.

<1%

Mosze Feiglin

$511,432 Wol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$530,981 Wol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$280,452 Wol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflect a fragmented Knesset where coalition negotiations continue to determine the path to a governing majority. Ongoing security developments and party realignments among smaller factions have sustained this balance, preventing either frontrunner from consolidating broader support. Gadi Eizenkot's share as a secondary option highlights trader focus on potential centrist alternatives if current blocs fail to reach agreement. Any breakthrough in parliamentary vote counts, leadership statements, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the next election could quickly widen the gap by clarifying which candidate can assemble the required coalition.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$9,183,831
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflect a fragmented Knesset where coalition negotiations continue to determine the path to a governing majority. Ongoing security developments and party realignments among smaller factions have sustained this balance, preventing either frontrunner from consolidating broader support. Gadi Eizenkot's share as a secondary option highlights trader focus on potential centrist alternatives if current blocs fail to reach agreement. Any breakthrough in parliamentary vote counts, leadership statements, or shifts in public sentiment ahead of the next election could quickly widen the gap by clarifying which candidate can assemble the required coalition.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$9,183,831
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Benjamin Netanjahu" z 40%, za nim "Naftali Bennett" z 40%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 40¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?" wygenerował $9.2 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 15, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?" jest "Benjamin Netanjahu" z 40%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Naftali Bennett" z 40%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kto zostanie kolejnym premierem Izraela po następnych wyborach?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.