Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have tightened global oil supplies through Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, driving the U.S. national average retail gasoline price above $4.50 per gallon as of mid-May 2026. Crude oil benchmarks remain elevated amid falling inventories, while seasonal summer driving demand and Memorial Day weekend travel add upward pressure on pump prices. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints outweighing longer-term EIA forecasts for modest 2026 declines, with market-implied probabilities pricing in continued volatility near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation signals or further Middle East developments that could alter refinery utilization and inventory draws before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$140,205 Wol.
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
67%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
10%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,205 Wol.
↑ $5.00
$21,513 Wol.
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Wol.
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,662 Wol.
67%
↓ $4.25
$2,557 Wol.
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 Wol.
10%
↓ $4.10
$796 Wol.
9%
↓ $4.00
$884 Wol.
5%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Wol.
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have tightened global oil supplies through Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, driving the U.S. national average retail gasoline price above $4.50 per gallon as of mid-May 2026. Crude oil benchmarks remain elevated amid falling inventories, while seasonal summer driving demand and Memorial Day weekend travel add upward pressure on pump prices. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints outweighing longer-term EIA forecasts for modest 2026 declines, with market-implied probabilities pricing in continued volatility near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation signals or further Middle East developments that could alter refinery utilization and inventory draws before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$140,205Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have tightened global oil supplies through Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, driving the U.S. national average retail gasoline price above $4.50 per gallon as of mid-May 2026. Crude oil benchmarks remain elevated amid falling inventories, while seasonal summer driving demand and Memorial Day weekend travel add upward pressure on pump prices. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints outweighing longer-term EIA forecasts for modest 2026 declines, with market-implied probabilities pricing in continued volatility near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation signals or further Middle East developments that could alter refinery utilization and inventory draws before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$140,205Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have tightened global oil supplies through Strait of Hormuz disruptions and refinery outages, driving the U.S. national average retail gasoline price above $4.50 per gallon as of mid-May 2026. Crude oil benchmarks remain elevated amid falling inventories, while seasonal summer driving demand and Memorial Day weekend travel add upward pressure on pump prices. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints outweighing longer-term EIA forecasts for modest 2026 declines, with market-implied probabilities pricing in continued volatility near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include any de-escalation signals or further Middle East developments that could alter refinery utilization and inventory draws before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania