Iran's constitutional rules limit presidential elections to scheduled four-year cycles or snap votes triggered only by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council then designating an interim leader and calling a vote within 50 days. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office as of mid-May 2026 with no vacancy or triggering event in the prior month, and his public schedule of engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. Earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health issues have not materialized into any formal process. The next regular contest falls well outside the June 30 window under the cycle set after the 2024 election. A sudden leadership change before the resolution date remains the sole realistic scenario that could still shift the current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$698,593 Wol.
$698,593 Wol.
$698,593 Wol.
$698,593 Wol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitutional rules limit presidential elections to scheduled four-year cycles or snap votes triggered only by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council then designating an interim leader and calling a vote within 50 days. President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office as of mid-May 2026 with no vacancy or triggering event in the prior month, and his public schedule of engagements with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues without interruption. Earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health issues have not materialized into any formal process. The next regular contest falls well outside the June 30 window under the cycle set after the 2024 election. A sudden leadership change before the resolution date remains the sole realistic scenario that could still shift the current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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