Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade in late 2025 and early 2026 sharply curtailed Venezuelan exports, forcing production cuts to around 800,000 barrels per day amid storage constraints before partial recovery to roughly 1.0–1.2 million bpd by May 2026. Primary drivers of any 2026 upside remain political stability, expanded general licenses for firms such as Chevron, and fresh foreign capital to address chronic underinvestment and heavy-crude processing needs. Reaching levels materially above current rates would require billions in infrastructure repairs and diluent imports, historically taking multiple years even with sanctions relief. Traders weigh upcoming U.S. policy signals and OPEC+ dynamics against Venezuela’s structural capacity limits when assessing resolution probabilities for specific production thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$169,702 Wol.
Feb 28, 2027
1.1m
92%
1.2m
68%
1.3m
43%
1.4m
18%
1.5m
9%
1.7m
3%
2m
3%
$169,702 Wol.
1.1m
$16,144 Wol.
92%
1.2m
$9,928 Wol.
68%
1.3m
$7,143 Wol.
43%
1.4m
$17,198 Wol.
18%
1.5m
$8,266 Wol.
9%
1.7m
$58,057 Wol.
3%
2m
$13,889 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade in late 2025 and early 2026 sharply curtailed Venezuelan exports, forcing production cuts to around 800,000 barrels per day amid storage constraints before partial recovery to roughly 1.0–1.2 million bpd by May 2026. Primary drivers of any 2026 upside remain political stability, expanded general licenses for firms such as Chevron, and fresh foreign capital to address chronic underinvestment and heavy-crude processing needs. Reaching levels materially above current rates would require billions in infrastructure repairs and diluent imports, historically taking multiple years even with sanctions relief. Traders weigh upcoming U.S. policy signals and OPEC+ dynamics against Venezuela’s structural capacity limits when assessing resolution probabilities for specific production thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$169,702Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade in late 2025 and early 2026 sharply curtailed Venezuelan exports, forcing production cuts to around 800,000 barrels per day amid storage constraints before partial recovery to roughly 1.0–1.2 million bpd by May 2026. Primary drivers of any 2026 upside remain political stability, expanded general licenses for firms such as Chevron, and fresh foreign capital to address chronic underinvestment and heavy-crude processing needs. Reaching levels materially above current rates would require billions in infrastructure repairs and diluent imports, historically taking multiple years even with sanctions relief. Traders weigh upcoming U.S. policy signals and OPEC+ dynamics against Venezuela’s structural capacity limits when assessing resolution probabilities for specific production thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Wolumen
$169,702Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement and a naval blockade in late 2025 and early 2026 sharply curtailed Venezuelan exports, forcing production cuts to around 800,000 barrels per day amid storage constraints before partial recovery to roughly 1.0–1.2 million bpd by May 2026. Primary drivers of any 2026 upside remain political stability, expanded general licenses for firms such as Chevron, and fresh foreign capital to address chronic underinvestment and heavy-crude processing needs. Reaching levels materially above current rates would require billions in infrastructure repairs and diluent imports, historically taking multiple years even with sanctions relief. Traders weigh upcoming U.S. policy signals and OPEC+ dynamics against Venezuela’s structural capacity limits when assessing resolution probabilities for specific production thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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