Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming conviction at 91.9% for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, fueled by a surge in state and local actions amid skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid costs jumped from $22 billion to $147 billion yearly, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Maine enacted the nation's first statewide AI data center moratorium last month, while 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 300+ local bills are filed, and 27 states advance similar measures driven by utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain. A symbolic federal push by Sanders and AOC underscores momentum, though unlikely to pass nationally; realistic challenges include narrow market definitions of "AI-specific" bans or gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's pending review, but the localized wave makes an upset improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMoratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Sim
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming conviction at 91.9% for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, fueled by a surge in state and local actions amid skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid costs jumped from $22 billion to $147 billion yearly, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Maine enacted the nation's first statewide AI data center moratorium last month, while 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 300+ local bills are filed, and 27 states advance similar measures driven by utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain. A symbolic federal push by Sanders and AOC underscores momentum, though unlikely to pass nationally; realistic challenges include narrow market definitions of "AI-specific" bans or gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's pending review, but the localized wave makes an upset improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$50,290Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming conviction at 91.9% for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, fueled by a surge in state and local actions amid skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid costs jumped from $22 billion to $147 billion yearly, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Maine enacted the nation's first statewide AI data center moratorium last month, while 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 300+ local bills are filed, and 27 states advance similar measures driven by utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain. A symbolic federal push by Sanders and AOC underscores momentum, though unlikely to pass nationally; realistic challenges include narrow market definitions of "AI-specific" bans or gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's pending review, but the localized wave makes an upset improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$50,290Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming conviction at 91.9% for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, fueled by a surge in state and local actions amid skyrocketing energy demands—PJM grid costs jumped from $22 billion to $147 billion yearly, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Maine enacted the nation's first statewide AI data center moratorium last month, while 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 300+ local bills are filed, and 27 states advance similar measures driven by utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain. A symbolic federal push by Sanders and AOC underscores momentum, though unlikely to pass nationally; realistic challenges include narrow market definitions of "AI-specific" bans or gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's pending review, but the localized wave makes an upset improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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