Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?
Economia·Fed

Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

icon for Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?
Economia·Fed

Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

dez 9

dez 9

Sim

84% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

$38,973 Vol.

Sim

84% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

$38,973 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 16, 2026 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% target range, the first hike since 2023, serves as the primary catalyst for the 83.5% market-implied odds of another increase before year-end. Hawkish projections from 16 of 18 participants signaled at least one additional quarter-point move, driven by August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, resilient domestic spending, solid growth forecasts around 2.3%, and a stable labor market. Elevated inflation expectations, reinforced by geopolitical and tariff-related pressures, have shifted trader consensus toward further tightening at the October or December meetings, with futures pricing consistent with that path while acknowledging data-dependent risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,973
Data de Término
9 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 16, 2026 FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to the 3.75-4.00% target range, the first hike since 2023, serves as the primary catalyst for the 83.5% market-implied odds of another increase before year-end. Hawkish projections from 16 of 18 participants signaled at least one additional quarter-point move, driven by August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, resilient domestic spending, solid growth forecasts around 2.3%, and a stable labor market. Elevated inflation expectations, reinforced by geopolitical and tariff-related pressures, have shifted trader consensus toward further tightening at the October or December meetings, with futures pricing consistent with that path while acknowledging data-dependent risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,973
Data de Término
9 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Relacionado

icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

66%
icon for Haverá 2 aumentos na taxa de juros do Fed em 2026?

Haverá 2 aumentos na taxa de juros do Fed em 2026?

56%
Sim
icon for A taxa máxima do Fed chegará a 4,25% ou mais antes de 2027?

A taxa máxima do Fed chegará a 4,25% ou mais antes de 2027?

73%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" has generated $39K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" is "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Outro aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.