Elevated inflation readings and a hawkish FOMC tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh continue to divide participants ahead of the October 27–28 meeting, keeping dissent probabilities tightly bunched between one and four-plus votes. The July 9–3 hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range featured three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent core PCE near 3.3% and headline pressures from energy. August payrolls surprised to the upside while unemployment held near 4.1%, reinforcing the case for some officials to push for tighter policy even as others cite moderating trends and the proximity of midterms. Market pricing shows an 87% chance of a hike at the October meeting on some venues, yet economist surveys remain more cautious, underscoring how incoming CPI and employment prints could shift the balance of views before the blackout period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?
Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 19%
NOVO
NOVO
28 out 2026
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
19%
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 19%
NOVO
NOVO
28 out 2026
0
$320 Vol.
15%
1
$345 Vol.
20%
2
$320 Vol.
22%
3
$340 Vol.
25%
4+
$690 Vol.
19%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and a hawkish FOMC tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh continue to divide participants ahead of the October 27–28 meeting, keeping dissent probabilities tightly bunched between one and four-plus votes. The July 9–3 hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range featured three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent core PCE near 3.3% and headline pressures from energy. August payrolls surprised to the upside while unemployment held near 4.1%, reinforcing the case for some officials to push for tighter policy even as others cite moderating trends and the proximity of midterms. Market pricing shows an 87% chance of a hike at the October meeting on some venues, yet economist surveys remain more cautious, underscoring how incoming CPI and employment prints could shift the balance of views before the blackout period.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volume
$2,015Data de Término
28 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and a hawkish FOMC tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh continue to divide participants ahead of the October 27–28 meeting, keeping dissent probabilities tightly bunched between one and four-plus votes. The July 9–3 hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range featured three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent core PCE near 3.3% and headline pressures from energy. August payrolls surprised to the upside while unemployment held near 4.1%, reinforcing the case for some officials to push for tighter policy even as others cite moderating trends and the proximity of midterms. Market pricing shows an 87% chance of a hike at the October meeting on some venues, yet economist surveys remain more cautious, underscoring how incoming CPI and employment prints could shift the balance of views before the blackout period.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015Data de Término
28 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and a hawkish FOMC tilt under Chair Kevin Warsh continue to divide participants ahead of the October 27–28 meeting, keeping dissent probabilities tightly bunched between one and four-plus votes. The July 9–3 hold at the 3.50–3.75% target range featured three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting persistent core PCE near 3.3% and headline pressures from energy. August payrolls surprised to the upside while unemployment held near 4.1%, reinforcing the case for some officials to push for tighter policy even as others cite moderating trends and the proximity of midterms. Market pricing shows an 87% chance of a hike at the October meeting on some venues, yet economist surveys remain more cautious, underscoring how incoming CPI and employment prints could shift the balance of views before the blackout period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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