Strong revenue momentum and advancing IPO preparations underpin trader consensus favoring an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company reported a $65 billion annualized run rate by late July 2026, following a $47 billion figure in May, alongside $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and its first profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with September reports of a targeted October Nasdaq listing at roughly $2 trillion—potentially anchored by Nvidia—has reinforced expectations of a rapid listing before year-end. Secondary trading and investor projections reflect this trajectory, though execution risks around public filing timelines, market conditions, and regulatory review remain relevant swing factors for the implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 5.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Vol.
$436,634 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 5.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Vol.
$436,634 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
$22,407 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$27,023 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,276 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,870 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$52,782 Vol.
8%
1.8T+
$218,630 Vol.
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$53,646 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong revenue momentum and advancing IPO preparations underpin trader consensus favoring an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company reported a $65 billion annualized run rate by late July 2026, following a $47 billion figure in May, alongside $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and its first profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with September reports of a targeted October Nasdaq listing at roughly $2 trillion—potentially anchored by Nvidia—has reinforced expectations of a rapid listing before year-end. Secondary trading and investor projections reflect this trajectory, though execution risks around public filing timelines, market conditions, and regulatory review remain relevant swing factors for the implied probability.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$436,634Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong revenue momentum and advancing IPO preparations underpin trader consensus favoring an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company reported a $65 billion annualized run rate by late July 2026, following a $47 billion figure in May, alongside $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and its first profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with September reports of a targeted October Nasdaq listing at roughly $2 trillion—potentially anchored by Nvidia—has reinforced expectations of a rapid listing before year-end. Secondary trading and investor projections reflect this trajectory, though execution risks around public filing timelines, market conditions, and regulatory review remain relevant swing factors for the implied probability.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$436,634Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong revenue momentum and advancing IPO preparations underpin trader consensus favoring an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company reported a $65 billion annualized run rate by late July 2026, following a $47 billion figure in May, alongside $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and its first profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with September reports of a targeted October Nasdaq listing at roughly $2 trillion—potentially anchored by Nvidia—has reinforced expectations of a rapid listing before year-end. Secondary trading and investor projections reflect this trajectory, though execution risks around public filing timelines, market conditions, and regulatory review remain relevant swing factors for the implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
96%
Sim
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
26%
Oferta Pública Inicial da Anthropic fecha com valor de mercado acima de US$ 1,5 trilhão?
94%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions