Recent surges in secondary-market trading and pre-IPO instruments have pushed Anthropic’s implied valuation above $1 trillion, driving the 43 percent market-implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion. Strong investor demand for a potential $30 billion-plus funding round targeting more than $900 billion—following the February close at $380 billion—reflects rapid revenue growth from Claude enterprise deployments and Anthropic’s competitive positioning against OpenAI. Reports of October 2026 IPO preparations, including banker discussions, reinforce expectations of premium pricing in a hot artificial-intelligence sector. Traders appear to weigh these momentum signals against the absence of an S-1 filing and typical AI-company timeline slippage, keeping lower valuation brackets and a “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at single-digit to low-teen probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 44%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$49,278 Vol.
$49,278 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
44%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 44%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$49,278 Vol.
$49,278 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
$3,497 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,219 Vol.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,163 Vol.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,241 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,526 Vol.
14%
1.8T+
$14,202 Vol.
44%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,430 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent surges in secondary-market trading and pre-IPO instruments have pushed Anthropic’s implied valuation above $1 trillion, driving the 43 percent market-implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion. Strong investor demand for a potential $30 billion-plus funding round targeting more than $900 billion—following the February close at $380 billion—reflects rapid revenue growth from Claude enterprise deployments and Anthropic’s competitive positioning against OpenAI. Reports of October 2026 IPO preparations, including banker discussions, reinforce expectations of premium pricing in a hot artificial-intelligence sector. Traders appear to weigh these momentum signals against the absence of an S-1 filing and typical AI-company timeline slippage, keeping lower valuation brackets and a “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at single-digit to low-teen probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$49,278Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent surges in secondary-market trading and pre-IPO instruments have pushed Anthropic’s implied valuation above $1 trillion, driving the 43 percent market-implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion. Strong investor demand for a potential $30 billion-plus funding round targeting more than $900 billion—following the February close at $380 billion—reflects rapid revenue growth from Claude enterprise deployments and Anthropic’s competitive positioning against OpenAI. Reports of October 2026 IPO preparations, including banker discussions, reinforce expectations of premium pricing in a hot artificial-intelligence sector. Traders appear to weigh these momentum signals against the absence of an S-1 filing and typical AI-company timeline slippage, keeping lower valuation brackets and a “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at single-digit to low-teen probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$49,278Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent surges in secondary-market trading and pre-IPO instruments have pushed Anthropic’s implied valuation above $1 trillion, driving the 43 percent market-implied probability for a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion. Strong investor demand for a potential $30 billion-plus funding round targeting more than $900 billion—following the February close at $380 billion—reflects rapid revenue growth from Claude enterprise deployments and Anthropic’s competitive positioning against OpenAI. Reports of October 2026 IPO preparations, including banker discussions, reinforce expectations of premium pricing in a hot artificial-intelligence sector. Traders appear to weigh these momentum signals against the absence of an S-1 filing and typical AI-company timeline slippage, keeping lower valuation brackets and a “no IPO by end-2027” outcome at single-digit to low-teen probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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